According to these CNN exist polls, 53% of respondent voters were women, and 47% were men. 54% of female respondents voted for Harris, 44% for Trump. 54% of male respondents for Trump and 44% for Harris. That means Harris should win the popular vote, if these polls are indicative of the election as a whole. But, she isn’t winning the popular vote, she’s losing by more than five million votes. That must mean that many more women than men voted on election day, but many more men than women voted early and/or by mail/absentee. Isn’t that kind of odd? You’d think the gender breakdown of mail in and early voting would be roughly the same as election day voting. The only other thing I can think of is these exit polls just aren’t indicative of the election broadly. Maybe CNN’s exit polls aren’t capturing a large or diverse enough sample size?

  • dragontamer@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    16
    arrow-down
    3
    ·
    2 months ago

    Run the numbers again with abstained votes.

    If the women entered the polls only to vote for Abortion, but left the President line blank, then it easily explains one potential issue.

    Just because people went to the polls doesn’t mean they even voted on the Presidency.

    • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.worldOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      10
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      2 months ago

      But this poll indicates that voters were asked specifically which presidential candidate they voted for. They could have lied, but I’m not sure why they would.

      The only explanation I can think of is many more men than women voted early/absentee, enough to more than overcome the higher turnout of women than men on election day. Either that or these exist polls just aren’t very indicative.