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Cake day: October 4th, 2023

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  • The only way you can do that is if Congress signs off on it.

    Every other state has an incentive not to permit that, because then that state gets two senators of its own.

    Congress has only ever permitted a state to split a single time – West Virginia from Virginia, during the American Civil War, where West Virginia was willing to side with the Union, and contained some militarily-important rail and water infrastructure.

    Texas also negotiated the right to have the ability to split into five states if it wanted down the line at the time it joined, but I recall reading that it was considered to no longer be an exerciseable option after the American Civil War.

    EDIT:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Admission_to_the_Union

    Article IV, Section 3, Clause 1:

    New States may be admitted by the Congress into this Union; but no new State shall be formed or erected within the Jurisdiction of any other State; nor any State be formed by the Junction of two or more States, or Parts of States, without the Consent of the Legislatures of the States concerned as well as of the Congress.[4]

    EDIT2: Correction; Kentucky was also split from Virginia and Maine from Massachusetts. The Kentucky split happened before the US Constitution was ratified. Maine was part of the Missouri Compromise, to keep slave and free states in balance when Missouri joined as a slave state.



  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_naval_battles

    Most recent three entries as an example:

    • August 21, 2024: 21 August - In Red Sea, the Greek flagged tanker Sounion was attacked and exchanged gunfire with two Houthi manned fast attack craft. The Sounion was then hit by three projectiles and set afire before being abandoned by its crew.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attacks_on_the_Sounion

    Two Houthi fast attack craft engaged in a firefight with the Sounion armed guards before three projectiles struck the tanker.

    Sounds like that may have been small arms, if armed guards were involved. There was a subsequent boarding action.

    • 15 July, 2024 - In the Red Sea, the Panamaninan flagged tanker Bentley-I is unsuccessfully attacked by a Houthi sea drone before engaging in a gun battle with two Houthi manned fast attack craft, which are driven off.[29]

    I assume that the sea drone attempted to ram. The attack craft were using guns.

    • 5 March, 2024 – Sinking of the Sergey Kotov – Russian Bykov-class patrol ship, RFS Sergey Kotov is attacked and sunk by Ukrainian sea drones in the Kerch Strait.[28]

    Probably ramming.

    We may, surprisingly-enough, be at more of a knife-fight range than we have for a long time in naval combat, though I suppose one could argue that maybe USVs should be thought of as more like long-range torpedoes or something than watercraft.


  • I think that if you’re looking at the Presidential race in particular, you probably want to look specifically at turnout in swing states, where the vote could have been realistically shifted.

    Probably a lot of post-mortems happening. I want to see some material from Five Thirty Eight on what shifts happened from 2020. In the runup to the election, for example, I remember reading that young non-college-educated male blacks polled had swung dramatically more Republican between 2020 and 2024. That suggests that division around education is becoming more-important along party lines. A majority was still voting Democrat, but the shift was large, something crazy, like twenty percentage points. I remember reading another article in the runup that Trump had gained slightly among females, also kind of a surprise to me. Now that we’ve got voting data, though, we can look at county level stuff and try to get an idea of which demographics actually shifted their votes and how.









  • The Jia Tan xz backdoor attack did get flagged by some automated analysis tools – they had to get the analysis tools modified so that it would pass – and that was a pretty sophisticated attack. The people running the testing didn’t catch it, trusted the Jia Tan group that it was a false positive that needed to be fixed, but it was still putting up warning lights.

    More sophisticated attackers will probably replicate their own code analysis environments mirroring those they know of online, make a checklist of running what code analysis tools they can run against locally prior to making the code visible, tweak it until it passes – but I think that it definitely raises the bar.

    Could have some analysis tools that aren’t made public but run against important public code repositories specifically to try to make this more difficult.



  • She’d eagerly looked forward to cooking meals in France beforehand, but Joanna says that she had trouble finding quality produce to cook.

    “You go to the supermarket, and the produce is terrible,” she says. “You pick up a piece of celery and it falls over. It’s so limp. So old and so horrible. Who would eat this?”

    Also: the couple has struggled to make friends, McIsaac-Kierklo has not yet mastered the language (or learned much of it)

    “I honestly don’t think we could have put in any more effort to acclimatize to the French way of life,” adds Joanna, who describes their experience as “a nightmare.”

    Don’t give up, lady. Try and bond with them by talking smack about French produce loudly and clearly in English. You’ll get through sooner or later. Even the French will eventually give in to determined gregariousness.