• archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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    10 months ago

    not going to meaningfully reduce the spread

    merely reduces transmission by something like half

    What definition are you using for “meaningfully”?

    • sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works
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      10 months ago

      As in, move toward eradication/containment.

      That’s just… not happening. So if there’s a big wave of COVID, you could delay getting it toward the end of the wave, but you’ll probably get it. If you’re vaxxed and boosted (and I am), symptoms will probably be lessened, but you’ll probably still get it. Just like the common cold or the flu, you’ll probably get it every year or two regardless of what you do (outside of total quarantine).

      The good news is that it seems to be getting more mild, or at least that’s my anecdotal experience. I first got COVID just before vaccines were available for my age bracket (I think spring of 2021), and I had a crazy fever, hacking cough, and body soreness and was essentially confined to my bed for two days, and had really nasty phlegm for weeks afterward. The second time was fall 2023 (got sick the last day of a cruise), and I felt dizzy (probably from the boat), mild to moderate fever, headache, runny nose, and low energy, but otherwise generally able to get around, and symptoms were largely gone within a week. Part of that is that I had the vaccine and previous natural immunity, but it was a completely different strain with different symptoms. I’ve heard similar things from co-workers and friends in my area (each had the 2020/2021 strain and then whatever went around last year).

      It makes sense to take precautions when sick, around those who are sick, and when cases spike, but that’s mostly to slow the spread to help out hospitals, but that also likely means it sticks around longer (i.e. instead of running out of steam in 2 months, it’ll run for 6 months). So wearing masks everyday makes little sense unless you work in a cancer ward or something.

      • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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        10 months ago

        Really seems like a 50-80% is meaningful, but for whatever reason you’re tying yourself in knots trying to justify not liking wearing a mask.

        It’s like saying there’s no point in stopping smoking when you’ve been diagnosed with lung cancer because there’s ONLY a 30-40% risk reduction of dying. Or maybe refusing to wash your hands because every cold or flu you’ve gotten has been ‘not that bad’. Except in this case, the risk reduction is for everyone around you instead of just yourself.

        Like, whatever you want to do bud, but you’re not convincing anyone that basic hygiene while you’re sick isn’t beneficial.

        • sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works
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          10 months ago

          Sure, 50-80% would be great if that’s the average case. But it’s not, that’s the best case, and apples if the mask:

          • is fresh
          • fits properly
          • is high quality

          But if you’re wearing a mask all day, it’s not going to be fresh, will likely not fit properly the whole time, and probably not be very high quality. Most of the masks I saw at the height of COVID were crappy single-layer cloth masks with effectiveness in the single digits.

          So your average mask is probably 5-25% effective on net if worn all day.

          That’s why I say we shouldn’t be wearing masks all day, we should only wear them when it’s important. That way, people are more likely to use a fresh mask and ensure it fits properly. I can put up with wearing a high quality mask for a few hours or days, but if you ask me to do that every single day, I’m going to get lazy, and lazy reduces effectiveness.

          At the height of COVID, medical experts wanted to slow the spread to preserve hospital capacity, so even single digit effectiveness was fine. But these days, there’s not much point to such low numbers of effectiveness, so mask-wearing shouldn’t be an everyday thing, but instead something you do when it’s especially important. Make it a normal thing, just not a routine.