it is going to take us decades at best to show the rest of the world that Trump and MAGA were just short blips on the radar
The fun part is we don’t have decades. We’re already at +1.7C. Insurance actuaries are predicting 4 2 billion deaths worldwide at +2C. We will literally never recover from Trump.
It all depends on the tipping points. How many do we trigger and when? But that’s the hard part: hard for people to conceptualize, hard to precisely predict. Even worse, “fast” in geological time is still slower than people are able to focus on. We may already be tipping, won’t know until we’re falling out of the boat, and too many people won’t believe it until they’re drowning
Just look at how this feeds climate change denial: for way too long it was difficult for people to see the difference themselves. Even now when we’re so far into it, risking so much, locked into so much change in our future, “so what if we don’t get as much snow as we used to”
Yeah, everyone underestimates climate impact and the fact that we are already past points of no return. It feeds into the cultural nihilism we have today. We’re kinda doomed. People just dissociating and pointing fingers at each other. The system is designed to cater to sociopathy and no good leaders can rise to the top to navigate us around the icebergs we’re headed straight towards.
The fun part is we don’t have decades. We’re already at +1.7C. Insurance actuaries are predicting
42 billion deaths worldwide at +2C. We will literally never recover from Trump.I’m gonna need a source on that.
Here you go: https://actuaries.org.uk/document-library/thought-leadership/thought-leadership-campaigns/climate-papers/planetary-solvency-finding-our-balance-with-nature/
I recalled incorrectly, it was 2 billion deaths at 2C, and 4 billion at 3C.
Thanks.
Sigh
It’s a very nice, very depressing, document. More people should read it.
It all depends on the tipping points. How many do we trigger and when? But that’s the hard part: hard for people to conceptualize, hard to precisely predict. Even worse, “fast” in geological time is still slower than people are able to focus on. We may already be tipping, won’t know until we’re falling out of the boat, and too many people won’t believe it until they’re drowning
Just look at how this feeds climate change denial: for way too long it was difficult for people to see the difference themselves. Even now when we’re so far into it, risking so much, locked into so much change in our future, “so what if we don’t get as much snow as we used to”
Yeah, everyone underestimates climate impact and the fact that we are already past points of no return. It feeds into the cultural nihilism we have today. We’re kinda doomed. People just dissociating and pointing fingers at each other. The system is designed to cater to sociopathy and no good leaders can rise to the top to navigate us around the icebergs we’re headed straight towards.